2024-12-13 04:38:50
Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Policy combination boosts confidence, and public offering: China's assets will usher in a further increase in valuation. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. A number of public offerings said that the meeting sent a very positive signal. At present, the economy is resilient, the investor structure is constantly optimized, and the market activity continues to increase. China assets may have an opportunity to raise their valuations again. From the perspective of funds, Jing Shun Great Wall Fund analyzed that the current A-share market is in the most active stage since 2015, and there are many potential bulls in the market. Policy expectations are expected to drive incremental funds into the market, forming a resonance between emotions and funds. (SSE)Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.
More support policies for specialization and innovation are brewing. According to the data of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, up to now, China has cultivated a total of 14,600 "little giant" enterprises with specialization and innovation, and more than 140,000 small and medium-sized enterprises with specialization and innovation. Over 80% of the "Little Giant" enterprises are located in strategic emerging industrial chains such as integrated circuits and aerospace, and the number of enterprises in future industry-related fields such as artificial intelligence and low-altitude economy is nearly 5,000. The reporter was informed that the relevant departments will study and formulate guidance on building a mechanism to promote the development and growth of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, issue guidance on cultivating high-quality enterprises, continue to increase support for the cultivation of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, and promote the "expansion, quality improvement and strong chain" of specialized and innovative groups. (Economic Information Daily)Haitong Securities: In 2025, the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price. Haitong Securities reported in its research report on December 10th that the effect of the trade-in policy is remarkable. With the active actions of the central and local governments, the trade-in policy of home appliances is expected to continue in 2025. We judge that the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price in 2025, and the domestic sales revenue of leading enterprises is expected to achieve steady growth. The average sales price of home appliances will increase significantly under the impetus of trade-in, and the profit margin of home appliance enterprises can be expected to increase. Under the downward trend of interest rates, the dividend yield of household appliances leading enterprises is still attractive. It is recommended that white and black electricity leading enterprises which have obviously benefited from the trade-in policy and have global competitiveness.Sagitar Juchuang will raise HK$ 277.5 million by placing shares. According to the announcement of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the robotics company Sagitar Juchuang agreed to place 10 million new shares at a price of HK$ 27.75 per share. The matching price is about 8% lower than Tuesday's closing price of HK$ 30.15 per share. The proceeds from the placement of shares will be mainly used for research and development, enhancing business development capabilities in overseas markets and exploring potential strategic partnership or alliance opportunities.
Asian Development Bank: Reduce India's growth forecast from 7.0% to 6.5% in 2024 and from 7.2% to 7.0% in 2025.Nikkei futures opened down 95 points at 39,290 on the Singapore Stock Exchange.OpenAI released the ChatGPT built-in tool Canvas. On December 11th, OpenAI launched the fourth day of technical live broadcast and released the latest function Canvas. According to reports, Canvas is directly built into ChatGPT, providing a separate window, which is mainly used for programming and writing tasks, providing opinions, reviewing and executing specific functions, and providing more detailed services. Simply put, Canvas is equivalent to a built-in Agent to help and guide ChatGPT to make better content generation and modification, and it is automatically triggered.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13